Analysis · Picks & Shovels
This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own analysis before making any decisions.

You Bought Nvidia.
You Think You've Grabbed the AI Bull by the Horns.

Meanwhile, the biggest money in the AI boom is increasingly being made by companies most investors never think about.

Because servers need cooling. Power. Thousands of cables connecting them. Without that, even the most powerful chip in the world does nothing.

Reading time: 10 minutes

All investors have been chasing Nvidia stock in recent months, convinced they're holding the AI bull by the horns. Meanwhile, Vertiv (VRT) — the leader in liquid cooling and UPS systems for data centers — delivered investors a return of +270% over the past 12 months, clearly outpacing Nvidia (+95% in the same period).

In the same period, Nvidia grew +95%. Vertiv's revenues grew 30% year-over-year, and its order backlog exceeded $15 billion.

The thing is, this isn't an isolated case. And the answer to the question "who is really making money in the AI boom" turns out to be more complicated than it seems.

The Gold Rush and the Picks & Shovels Strategy

Investment history loves to rhyme. In California in 1849, the biggest winners weren't those who found gold — they were the sellers of shovels, jeans, and tents. Levi Strauss never dug; he sold clothes to miners and built an empire.

In the 1990s dot-com bubble, the greatest fortunes were made not by portal owners, but by Cisco — the company supplying network infrastructure: routers and cables. When the bubble burst in 2001, many internet darlings went bankrupt. Cisco survived and kept growing.

2026 is following a very similar script —
only in the context of artificial intelligence.
With one key difference we'll reveal at the end.

AI Doesn't Operate in a Vacuum

The energy demands of large AI models are staggering. Hyperscalers — Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta — will spend hundreds of billions of dollars this year on new data centers. The problem is that chips alone aren't enough.

AI servers generate extreme amounts of heat. Advanced cooling keeps them running at full capacity, stable power allows 24/7 operation, and high-quality cables and connectors ensure lightning-fast communication between systems.

Nvidia sells the gold. Someone has to supply the tools.

$215,9B
Nvidia FY2026 · investor.nvidia.com

Before we get to the shovels — one honest word about the gold. Nvidia in fiscal year 2026: revenue $215.9B (+65%), Data Center $193.7B, gross margin 75%, free cash flow $96.6B annually. Forward P/E ~24×. This matters — we'll come back to it at the end.

Five Companies Winning in 2026

VERTIV VRT · IR
Data Center Cooling and Power

Vertiv designs and delivers complete UPS systems, liquid cooling, and thermal management for server rooms. AI servers generate extreme heat — traditional air cooling can't handle power densities of 100–200 kW per rack. Vertiv's liquid cooling is essential for Nvidia chips to run at full capacity. Hyperscalers treat Vertiv as a "must-have." Main competitors: Schneider Electric and Eaton — but neither matches Vertiv's backlog or Nvidia integration.

+30%Revenue Q1 YoY
$2,65BRevenue Q1 2026
$15B+Order Backlog
+83%Adjusted EPS
$4,20Adj. Diluted EPS FY2025
BLOOM ENERGY BE · IR
Decentralized On-Site Power

Bloom manufactures stationary fuel cells that function like a mini power plant installed directly at the data center. Power grids can't keep up with AI demand, with connection queues measured in gigawatts. Bloom provides clean, reliable 24/7 power without grid dependency. It is the sole power supplier for Oracle Project Jupiter (up to 2.8 GW in New Mexico). In Q1 2026, Non-GAAP EPS grew nearly 15× YoY — from $0.03 to $0.44. Competitors in fuel cells (Plug Power, FuelCell Energy) are financially weaker — Bloom holds a unique position in SOFC. Warning: Forward P/E ~140× assumes flawless execution for many years. Highest potential and highest risk of the five.

+130%Revenue Q1 YoY
$751MRevenue Q1 2026
+208%Product Revenue
$3,4–3,8B2026 Guidance
$0,44Non-GAAP EPS Q1
~15×Non-GAAP EPS YoY
~6×Adjusted EBITDA YoY
~10×Non-GAAP Op. Income YoY
BABCOCK & WILCOX BW · IR
Large Power Blocks

A company with 160 years of history designing and building large gas boilers, steam turbines, and complete power blocks installed directly at data centers. In March 2026, it signed a $2.4 billion contract with Base Electron for 1.2 gigawatts of capacity for AI Applied Digital campuses — four 300 MW boilers. Warning: A company with a history of losses, concentration on a single contract, and an ongoing class action lawsuit. Speculation, not investment.

+1074%YTD Stock Growth
$2,4BContract Value
$587,7MFY2025 Revenue
$20,7MOperating Income FY2025
-$32,8MContinuing Loss FY2025
$423,6MFY2025 Backlog
nVENT ELECTRIC NVT · IR
Electrical Infrastructure

nVent supplies transformers, switchgear, enclosures, and internal wiring — everything between the power source and the server. Provides safe and scalable power delivery inside data centers. Organic orders grew 40% in Q1 2026, mainly driven by large AI data center projects from hyperscalers and colocation firms. The only company among the five that regularly pays a quarterly dividend ($0.21/share in 2026). Competitors: Eaton and Hubbell — but nVent has a stronger position in data center enclosures. A rare combination of growth and stable income.

+53%Revenue Q1 YoY
$1,242BRevenue Q1 2026
+63%EPS Q1 2026
+40%AI Orders
$0,21Quarterly Dividend
AMPHENOL APH · IR
High-Speed Cables and Connectors

Amphenol produces connectors, fiber optics, copper and optical cables, and interconnects for GPU servers. Leader in high-speed interconnects for GPU clusters — ahead of TE Connectivity and Molex (Koch Industries). The physical data highway between thousands of GPUs in a cluster, without which no AI cluster operates. After acquiring CommScope CCS in January 2026, backlog exceeded $8.4 billion. Note: In Q1 2026, the company set aside $290M in tax reserves related to a tax audit in China — a one-time event, but worth monitoring.

+58%Revenue Q1 YoY
$7,62BRevenue Q1 2026
$9,435BRecord Orders
+99%IT Datacom Segment
+68%Adjusted Diluted EPS
$831MFree Cash Flow Q1
27,3%Adj. Operating Margin
COMPANY SEGMENT REVENUE GROWTH
Q1 2026
KEY METRIC
NVIDIA
(NVDA)
Chipy AI +69% Market Cap > $3T
VERTIV
(VRT)
Cooling / Power +30% Backlog ~$15B
BLOOM ENERGY
(BE)
Onsite power +130% Guidance +80% (2026)
nVENT ELECTRIC
(NVT)
Electrical Infrastructure +53% AI Orders +40%
BABCOCK & WILCOX
(BW)
Bloki energetyczne n/d Contract $2.4B
AMPHENOL
(APH)
Cables & Connectors +58% Backlog ~$8.4B

The larger a company's market cap, the harder it is to grow at the same percentage rate. Smaller, specialized infrastructure companies have a clear leverage advantage in this cycle — and notably, they benefit from the entire class of AI models simultaneously, regardless of which ultimately wins the market race.

Each of these companies has real exposure to the AI boom. These aren't small, undiscovered companies — Amphenol and Vertiv are well-known on Wall Street. The point is that retail investors often overlook them, focusing exclusively on chips. But exposure isn't everything — the price you pay matters too. And that's where it gets interesting.

Are These Levels Still Worth It?

The article shows who grew. But there's one question that needs to be asked directly: after such gains, are infrastructure companies still attractive? Hard valuation data calls for caution.

Forward P/E · as of May 6, 2026
Company Forward P/E Trailing P/E Ocena
VertivVRT · GuruFocus · Yahoo
52–54× ~83× Very expensive
Bloom EnergyBE · GuruFocus · Yahoo
140–157× ekstremalnie Extremely expensive
nVent ElectricNVT · GuruFocus · Yahoo
40.36× 39.37× Drogo
AmphenolAPH · GuruFocus · Yahoo
30–31× ~39–42× Most reasonable
Babcock & WilcoxBW · GuruFocus · Yahoo
140.85× 6.47× Very risky
NvidiaNVDA · Forward P/E · GuruFocus · Yahoo · IR
24.45× 40.51× Cheaper than "shovels"
Forward P/E = price-to-projected earnings for the next 12 months. Trailing P/E = price-to-earnings for the past 12 months. Data as of May 6, 2026 — valuations change in real time. Source: GuruFocus, Yahoo Finance.

One of the more surprising conclusions of this analysis: Nvidia at forward P/E ~24× is today valued cheaper than most of the infrastructure companies that were supposed to "beat" it. Vertiv at 52×, Bloom Energy at 140× — this is no longer a story about shovels, it's a story about how the market priced in the future with a significant premium.

Amphenol stands out as the only company in this group with a relatively rational valuation. The others require continued, highly dynamic revenue growth to justify current prices.

Operating Margins · Q1 2026

Company Adj. Op. Margin Gross Margin Main Competitors
NvidiaNVDA
~67% 75% AMD, Intel, custom silicon
AmphenolAPH
27,3% 36,7% TE Connectivity, Molex
Bloom EnergyBE
17,3% 31,5% Plug Power, FuelCell Energy
VertivVRT
20,8% ~35% Schneider Electric, Eaton
nVent ElectricNVT
~20% ~40% Eaton, Hubbell, Vertiv
Babcock & WilcoxBW
~3,5% ~25% GE Vernova, Siemens Energy
Adj. Op. Margin = adjusted operating margin (non-GAAP), excludes one-time costs and stock compensation. Gross Margin = gross profit margin. Data for Q1 2026 / FY2025. Nvidia shown for comparison. Source: company quarterly reports.

One important note: forward P/E is not a verdict. With revenue growth of 30–130% annually, high multiples can be justified — provided the growth rate holds. That "if" is the biggest risk.

📊 Picks & Shovels Power Ranking · May 2026

1. Amphenol (APH) — best risk/reward. Lowest P/E, highest margins in the group, M&A discipline.

2. Vertiv (VRT) — purest AI exposure. Expensive, but backlog >$15B and rising margins justify the premium.

3. nVent Electric (NVT) — solid and dividend-paying. Less exciting, but safest after Amphenol.

4. Bloom Energy (BE) — high potential with successful scaling. Extreme 140× valuation requires flawless execution.

5. Babcock & Wilcox (BW) — speculation, not investment. One contract, lawsuit, history of losses. Only for those tolerating high volatility.

Risks Remain Real

⚠ Risk Warning

The picks and shovels strategy is not without pitfalls. Data center construction delays, rising energy costs, supply chain issues, or sudden changes in energy policy can quickly shift the trajectory. High valuations of some companies — especially after such dramatic gains — leave little margin of safety.

A separate risk comes from the hyperscalers themselves. Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are actively developing their own solutions — custom power, advanced cooling, proprietary interconnects. In the long term, they may partially bypass external infrastructure providers. This isn't a tomorrow scenario, but worth keeping in mind.

It's also worth noting that Babcock & Wilcox, despite its spectacular stock gain, is a company with high concentration risk. One large contract with Applied Digital makes up a significant portion of the backlog, and a class action lawsuit surrounds disclosures related to that deal. This is an example of how the biggest gains come with the biggest volatility and execution risk.

Levi Strauss didn't dig for gold — and got rich off those who did. A beautiful story. But there's one detail that gets overlooked: Levi sold pants at a reasonable price. Not at 140 times future earnings.

Picks & shovels remains a valid thesis — but in 2026, the market discovered it long ago and paid a hefty premium. Vertiv 52×, Bloom Energy 140× forward P/E. Meanwhile, Nvidia — the company investors "abandoned" in favor of shovels — trades at ~24×.

The AI boom is real. Infrastructure is essential. But the cheapest company in this set turned out to be the gold, not the shovels.

Which side will you choose —
but first, check the price.

Sources and Documents

Company 10-K (FY2025) Earnings Call Q1 2026
Vertiv (VRT) SEC Filings IR Motley Fool · 22.04.2026
Bloom Energy (BE) SEC Filings IR Motley Fool · 28.04.2026
Amphenol (APH) SEC Filings IR Motley Fool · 29.04.2026
nVent Electric (NVT) SEC Filings IR Motley Fool · 01.05.2026
Babcock & Wilcox (BW) SEC Filings IR SEC EDGAR
Nvidia (NVDA) 10-K FY2026 · SEC investor.nvidia.com
Additional transcripts: Seeking Alpha · Motley Fool · Quartr
This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risk of capital loss.

Sources: Q1 2026 company quarterly reports, press releases, Bloomberg and Reuters data, May 2026.